Southwest Airlines put Texas jet fuel on a boat to LA for the first time amid supply worries
China discloses rare metal that powers its unique spy satellite the US cannot build
3 Tesla shareholders speak out after mixed Q2 earnings
Burnham says 20% business rates cut for English pubs 'a first step'
Anthropic updates Claude voice mode with more capable models
Google will now let you sign in to your account with a selfie video
Traders are skeptical of Iran timeline for Strait of Hormuz reopening
China industrial profits jump 24.7% in April, fastest gain in over two years despite headwinds
Week ahead: Will inflation reignite Fed jitters? Markets brace for key data and earnings
SoftBank extends scorching rally, surging over 12%, as investors crowd into AI trade
Quantum stocks soar as U.S. reportedly plans $2 billion ‘award’ and taking equity stakes
NextEra Energy to buy Dominion in deal that unites two key players in race to power AI data centers
Tradable Event
Burnham says 20% business rates cut for English pubs 'a first step'
Index Price: ?Price-weighted index of the basket below — each asset contributes proportionally to its price, recomputed continuously from live market data. The 15-minute pool settles on this exact value.
$100.53
+0.53%
Index — past 24 hours
Stocks/Cryptos related to the headline in the index:
CENT14%
AMNF14%
ANSC14%
MSGE14%
BRX14%
MSGS14%
MKC14%
15-min Predictions
Entries lock in —
Pool $0.00
Entries 0
Settles in —
$
Pick a level around the live index price
$
From $0.10 up to $1,000,000
Entered already? You can add stake to the same prediction — or cancel for a full refund — until lock.
Prediction Book ?Live anonymized tape of this round's predictions, split around the current index price. At settlement the prediction closest to P1 takes the entire pool.
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Bottom callers
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Top callers
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How it works
Predict where this event's index price will be, with any stake from $0.10 up to $1,000,000, while the round is open. One prediction per round — you can add stake to it, but the level is locked in.
At the boundary the round locks. No entries, top-ups, or cancellations after lock. Until lock you can cancel for a full refund.
When the measurement window ends, the settlement index P1 decides it: the prediction(s) closest to P1 win. Winners get their stake back plus the losers' pool, split in proportion to stake.
Fewer than two players, everyone tied, or an index outage voids the round and every entry is refunded in full. Each round is pinned to the headline shown above when the round opens.
Zero fees — winners take the entire losing pool, and a winner never gets back less than their stake.
Tradable Events
Southwest Airlines put Texas jet fuel on a boat to LA for the first time amid supply worries
China discloses rare metal that powers its unique spy satellite the US cannot build
3 Tesla shareholders speak out after mixed Q2 earnings
Burnham says 20% business rates cut for English pubs 'a first step'
Anthropic updates Claude voice mode with more capable models
Google will now let you sign in to your account with a selfie video
Traders are skeptical of Iran timeline for Strait of Hormuz reopening
China industrial profits jump 24.7% in April, fastest gain in over two years despite headwinds
Week ahead: Will inflation reignite Fed jitters? Markets brace for key data and earnings
SoftBank extends scorching rally, surging over 12%, as investors crowd into AI trade
Quantum stocks soar as U.S. reportedly plans $2 billion ‘award’ and taking equity stakes
NextEra Energy to buy Dominion in deal that unites two key players in race to power AI data centers