Track record
SpaceX IPO baskets
Our first six baskets were built on 12 June 2026, hours before SpaceX's first trade — long and short. Every fund since, winners and losers.
Stock prices to the 30 October 2026 close; crypto to 1 November 2026.
The benchmark: SpaceX stock
- 2026-06-12 First close $160.95
- 2026-06-16 Peak close $201.80 +25.4%
- 2026-10-30 $134.72 -33.2% from the peak
Short baskets — profit when the basket falls
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+56.7% best +58.6% (22 Oct) · first 72h +12.4%
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+27.1% best +29.5% (20 Oct) · first 72h +6.2%
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+5.4% best +5.4% (18 Jun) · first 72h +5.4%
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+4.2% best +4.2% (18 Jun) · first 72h +7.4%
Long baskets — profit when the basket rises
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+24.6% best +38.6% (21 Sep) · first 72h +7.9%
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+22.9% best +36.5% (21 Sep) · first 72h +2.0%
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-8.6% best +3.5% (4 Aug) · first 72h -3.1%
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-30.1% best +10.0% (14 Aug) · first 72h -12.6%
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-30.4% best +12.0% (17 Aug)
What to know about these numbers
- Every fund is listed. The long stock baskets lost money; the short baskets and the crypto baskets made money.
- Short returns are the basket's fall, unlevered and before borrowing costs and fees.
- Reweighting on 7 August 2026. The weights of the June baskets were changed that day, and each index price was recalculated from its original June prices, so the index price stepped on that day. Returns excluding that step:
- SpaceX IPO - Short (RKLB, ASTS, PL): +56.8% (step -0.8%)
- SpaceX IPO - Short (RKLB, BALL, TSAT): +22.8% (step +5.5%)
- SpaceX IPO: Top 10 Crypto Plays (BTC): +26.1% (step -1.4%)
- SpaceX IPO (BTC): +18.3% (step +2.4%)
- SpaceX IPO: Top 10 Space Stocks (LHX, MAIN, TSAT): -0.1% (step -8.5%)
- SpaceX IPO - Long (KRMN, RDW, SIDU): -41.6% (step +19.0%)
- The two crypto baskets are now about 99% Bitcoin by weight after that reweighting, so most of their return since is Bitcoin's.
- "First 72h" is the platform's frozen 72-hour score, recorded when each card was three days old and never changed. Two of them differ from a rebuild from daily closes (SpaceX IPO - Long and SpaceX Rollover Short); we show the frozen figure.
- Legs left out of the rebuild: MNTR, MVCO, SFES, SVVC, XCH — no public price history matched the instrument the basket was priced on. Together they are a fraction of a percent of current weight.
- Past performance does not predict future returns. Nothing here is investment advice.
Method
Each fund's daily index price is rebuilt with the same fixed-weight formula the platform uses, from the prices and weights each basket was created with (the original weights before 7 August 2026). Daily closes come from Nasdaq for stocks and ETFs and DeFiLlama for crypto. A short basket's return is the basket's fall, unlevered and before costs. The headline return for a live fund is its current published index price against its starting price of 100; for a closed card it is the return to its trading close. The rebuilt daily series matches the platform's recorded index prices to within a fraction of a point on most days.