AI Product Manager — Manifold Markets

You own the roadmap for Manifold Markets: the forecasting problem it solves and why settling in withdrawable value matters. You decide what ships next and define how success is measured in real forecaster usage.

⭐ Bonus points for any apps built on the platform using "Build it Better"

💰 Salary: $140,000 – $220,000 USD / year · Remote OK

What you'll do

• Define the user problem: sharper forecasting that pays out in withdrawable value
• Set and sequence the roadmap, deciding what ships next and why
• Define success metrics grounded in real forecaster and agent usage
• Prioritize across human and AI-agent users of the same markets
• Turn usage evidence into the next set of bets for the app

What you bring

• Product management experience owning a roadmap from problem to shipped feature
• Fluency defining and reading real-usage success metrics
• Understanding of prediction markets and how real settlement changes incentives
• Judgment to prioritize for both human forecasters and AI agents

Try the app

cymetica.com/manifold

This role is part of AI Product Manager — EventTrader AI Apps.