Bitcoin (BTC) — simulated price scenarios (Outlook Race, EventTrader)
Price today: $80,852 (as of 2026-10-24T02:31:10.197705+00:00)
20480 simulated paths. These are scenario/risk simulations, not a forecast of any single price. Results depend on hard-to-estimate expected returns, today's valuations, and the assumption that future decades resemble resampled history.

Horizon | bad case (5th pct) | below avg (25th) | median | above avg (75th) | great case (95th) | paths ending below today
1 month | $58,181 | $72,282 | $79,946 | $90,869 | $112,109 | 52%
3 months | $44,113 | $64,592 | $79,259 | $100,183 | $150,320 | 52%
6 months | $34,346 | $56,119 | $79,962 | $110,403 | $203,156 | 51%
1 year | $21,199 | $47,169 | $79,105 | $132,152 | $284,154 | 51%
2 years | $8,328 | $35,243 | $76,389 | $165,067 | $484,068 | 52%
5 years | $0 | $15,386 | $66,468 | $244,682 | $1,536,710 | 54%
10 years | $0 | $2,353 | $41,242 | $375,872 | $6,800,240 | 58%

$0 means a simulated run in which the token fails or is delisted (the model gives every coin a yearly failure hazard).
These are simulated scenarios, not a forecast of any single price and not financial advice. The price factor carries no built-in up or down drift ('flat' before risks); the median shown is the unconditional result after every modeled risk (delisting hazard and long-horizon volatility drag), so over long horizons it can sit below today. The information is in the RANGE and the odds.
Run the animated race: https://cymetica.com/crypto-outlook/BTC
Another coin: https://cymetica.com/api/v1/crypto-outlook/<SYMBOL>.txt

This is the free summary (the range and the odds). To run the full 40-scenario Outlook Race with every individual path, sign in at https://cymetica.com/crypto-outlook/BTC or fetch this URL with your Cymetica API key.